Ask me to check something
In this piece
The question
The very first piece of advice I found when I started looking into writing romance was this: find authors in your tropes and niche, a few years ahead of you, and learn from their arcs.
Great. So I opened Goodreads. Every book page shows a rating count, a review count and a want-to-read number. For today. There is no history tab, so there's no arc. A book with 40,000 ratings could have earned them in one wild month or across eight slow years, and the page won't say which.
How I build the record: halve it until the growth shows up
Opening every snapshot is slow, and most of them won't tell me anything new. So I use a halving method. It's a simple way to find where the growth is hiding with as few snapshots as possible.
- I anchor both ends and the big releases. The earliest capture, today's live number, and a capture just before each of the author's most popular books came out. Big releases are where arcs usually bend, so I don't wait for halving to stumble onto them.
- I weigh each window. Between each pair of anchors I can see what share of the total growth landed there. That share is the weight. Windows are rarely the same length, though, so I also check growth per day. A long window can win on share just by being long.
- I halve the heaviest window. I open the capture closest to its midpoint, and weigh the two halves. Then I repeat.
- I stop when the window is small, around three months, or when there's no capture close enough to split it. If the nearest capture is more than a month or so off the date I wanted, I write down how far off it is.
- Then I go find out why. Once I've narrowed the growth to one window, I look at what the author did then: a sequel, a sale, a newsletter, a moment on TikTok.
Try it yourself
I turned these steps into a free tool on this site. The Ratings Rewind asks six questions, one at a time, builds your list of saved pages with the dates already in the links, and plots each book as you go. It finds the fastest stretch for you, checks the other books, and writes the verdict in plain words.
Here's a real one. I picked Abby Jimenez. Her most-rated book on Goodreads is Just for the Summer, with 1,244,366 ratings on October 16, 2026, so that's the book I tracked, with her first, The Friend Zone, alongside it.
I started with two captures: two days after it came out, and March 24, 2026. Just for the Summer went from 5,374 ratings on April 4, 2024 to 1,111,040 on March 24, 2026. Two years is too long to match to anything, so I halved it. A capture from March 30, 2025 read 722,958: about 1,993 ratings a day in the first year, and about 1,081 a day in the second. That first year begins two days after it was the Good Morning America Book Club pick for April.
- July 21, 2019, 4,611
- December 15, 2019, 14,073
- December 15, 2021, 63,408
- April 24, 2024, 167,624
- March 24, 2026, 454,009
- October 3, 2026, 495,422
Ratings aren't sales.
Sources (1)
Source: Ratings Rewind worked example, saved Goodreads copies
See the numbers
| Saved copy | Ratings |
|---|---|
| July 21, 2019 | 4,611 |
| December 15, 2019 | 14,073 |
| December 15, 2021 | 63,408 |
| April 24, 2024 | 167,624 |
| March 24, 2026 | 454,009 |
| October 3, 2026 | 495,422 |
So her first book woke up when her biggest one took off. That fits new readers going back for more. It doesn't prove it. Ratings aren't sales, and Goodreads itself and readers' habits keep changing.
What this can't tell me
Ratings aren't sales, and nothing in the archive shows Kindle Unlimited reads, ad spend or an author's mailing list. The halving method works best when growth is lumpy. When every split comes out close to fifty-fifty, that suggests no one moment did it. And it can't prove cause. A release that lines up with growth is worth a look, nothing more. I also haven't spoken with Abby Jimenez, and she may remember these years differently than the page counts suggest.
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